Friday, October 16, 2020

17/10/20 Ballinrobe + Leopardstown

 Friday wasn't a bad day prediction wise. At Leopardstown Legal Thriller was 5th the 5/1 shot was narrowly beaten inside the final furlong by MK Drama, Neyland, Angle's Trumpet and the 6/1 winner Day Dreamin while at Dundalk Acquiescent won beating the 2/1 favourite Sindhia by a neck.

 A busy weekend begins with two meetings at Ballinrobe and Leopardstown. The big race at Ballinrobe is at 1.35 when 8 begin the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle. Sheer Liss has impressed in her last two runs a victory at Down Royal at the end of August and a second place at Gowran Park earlier this month and despite going up in trip she should perform well here. The other main challenger is Sovereign Gold who is looking for her 3rd win in a row following 2 point to point victories this year at Aghabullogue and Kildorrery both in County Cork so she should step up easily here and this newcomer shouldn't be overlooked. The others who could do well are Rhyme'N Rhythm who makes her hurdles debut here and the longer trip should suit her and Darren's Hope who's last win was back in January but she was a decent 2nd in her last run at Listowel 27 days ago so don't rule either of them out. 

 The other big race is at Leopardstown at 3.00 when 9 start the Killavullan Stakes. Ontario looks like the one to beat after a reasonable year,two wins in July and August followed by 2 seconds in late September and last time out at Tipparary 2 weeks ago where he fell away in the last 50 yards but returning to action so quickly after means he should improve. Masen definitely has potential despite finishing last at The Curragh over this races 7 furlong distance 34 days ago where he led the group 1 Vincent O'brien stakes 2 furlongs out but faded and dropped back,If he recaptures the form that saw him win on this Leopardstown course back in July then he will be a challenger. Poetic Flare is definitely in the mix here as he looks to bounce back after finishing 10th in the Dewhurst Stakes at Newmarket a week ago his debut was a win at Naas in March and that performance means he is a threat.  The other two to be respected are Erzindjan who won over this distance at Cork 53 days ago and Zaffy's Pride who will look to make it 3 wins in a row following two wins at Dundalk the last 15 days ago. 

Big race predictions: Ballinrobe 1.35: 2:Sheer Liss  Leopardstown 3.00: 6:Ontario. 

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