Saturday, April 10, 2021

11/4/21 Leopardstown

 At Dundalk on Saturday my prediction Cadamosto won. The 7/4 joint favourite moved into a slight lead 3 furlongs out,she faced a challenge from just over a furlong out but stayed on well and went clear in the final 110 yards to comfortably win by 3 1/2 lengths. In the Grand National at Aintree Cloth Cap was running well in second until he stumbled 4 out,he soon weakened and was pulled up before the third last. Minella Times won by 6 1/2 lengths meaning Jockey Rachael Blackmore was the first female to win the race in it's history. 

 A busy Sunday sees a triple main event at Leopardstown, the first is at 2.10 when 12 begin the Ballylinch Stud 'Red Rocks ' 2000 Guineas Trial Stakes. Poetic Flare won two of his three starts as a Juvenile in 2020 his last was the Group 3 Killavullan Stakes over this course and race distance when last seen in October, he should progress further and is a big player here. A Case Of You picked up 2 wins from 3 runs last year and completed his hat-trick at Dundalk on his season return 23 days ago,there is still more to come and he is a challenger. Monaasib is a useful horse who was a very good second in the Group 2 Beresford Stakes at The Curragh on his final start of last season and he should definitely be respected on this his return. The other one with a chance is Horoscope who showed improvement to pick up his first win at The Curragh at the end of March and he should go well again. At 2.40 it's the turn of the fillies when 15 line-up for the Ballylinch Stud 'Pirory Belle' 1000 Guineas Trial Stakes. Empress Josephine was impressive on debut when winning a maiden at Naas 2 weeks ago and the sister to the top-class Minding is hard to overlook as she steps up in grade here. Loch Lein is a promising horse who picked up her first win at Cork when last seen 7 months ago,she is definitely open to further improvement and is in the mix. The other big horse in the race is Shale who has won 3 times in her career including over this course and distance back in September,despite finishing a below form 6th in a fillies mile at Newmarket in October this smart filly has a big chance on this her first run in 6 months and definitely can't be ruled out. The final big race of the day is the 3.45 when 8 go to post for the P.W. McGrath Memorial Ballysax Stakes. Bolshoi Ballet is the standout horse he picked up one win from two runs last year that was on this Leopardstown course in October he then travelled to France a week later and finished 5th in the Criterium De Saint-Cloud. Despite being off 169 days he sets the clear standard here. Wuqood had one win from his three runs in 2020 that was at Gowran Park in August, his last run was a good second in the Eyrefield Stakes on this course at the end of October and he will challenge on his return. The other two with a chance are Lough Derg who arrives after an impressive victory on debut at Dundalk in early November and Taipan who despite being slowly away picked up a victory on his first start at Naas 161 days ago.

Big race predictions: 2.10: 11: Poetic Flare 2.40: 4: Empress Josephine 

                                       3.45: 2: Bolshoi Ballet.

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