Thursday, August 12, 2021

13/8/21 The Curragh + Tramore

 Thursday turned out to be a good day with two wins out of three. Both victory's came at Leopardstown, in the 6.30 Create Belief tracked the leaders and led from a furlong out. The 5/6 favourite quickened to move clear inside the final furlong beating Georgeville by 1/2 a length. The other big race saw Interpretation make all the running. The Evens favourite went into the lead 5 out. She faced a challenge 2 out but stayed on well inside the final furlong beating Fernando Vichi by 1 3/4 lengths. The only pick who failed to win was Walking Fame who came 6th at Tramore. The 13/8 favourite was always behind the leaders weakening approaching the last leaving the 6/1 chance Craic Eile to win by 2 1/2 lengths. 

 The week ends on a busy note with another two meetings. The two standout contests take place at The Curragh,the first is the 6.00 when 13 line-up for the 201st running of the group 3 Fitzdares Royal Whip Stakes. Leo De Fury was 5th in this race a year ago but did win over this course and distance early in his career. He did make a good reappearance when fifth to Japan in the Meld Stakes at Leopardstown 29 days ago and should progress further here. Visualisation has already picked up 3 wins from 6 runs this year his last was here in May. He was an excellent second in a handicap at Royal Ascot 55 days ago and definitely enters calculations. Innisfree is a promising horse who won on this course in September 2019 and was a good second in the Futurity Trophy at Newcastle when last seen 21 months ago,he goes back up in trip here but has a chance despite his long lay-off. The other threat is Earlswood who was a creditable 4th to Hurricane Lane in the Irish Derby on this course 48 days ago and should go well again. The other main event comes at 7.00 when 11 start the Comer Group International Irish St Leger Trial Stakes. Princess Zoe had an excellent 2020 completing a 5-timer when taking the Prix Du Cadran at Longchamp in October, she arrives having run well to finish 2nd in the Gold Cup at Ascot in June and going back down in trip and grade here makes her a serious player. Wordsworth is an improving horse who finished 3rd in the Irish Derby here in June and 2nd in the Prix De Paris before being slightly out of form when 5th in the Gordon Stakes at Goodwood last time out. He goes back up in trip and is a danger. Emperor Of The Sun picked up his first victory at listed level at Leopardstown in May,he wasn't disgraced in his two group one runs since a fifth in the Ascot Gold Cup and a 7th in the Goodwood Cup. This is definitely a more suitable race for him and he will challenge. Twilight Payment won the Melbourne Cup in 2020 but has been below that kind of form in his three starts this year his last saw him weaken to finish 9th at Ascot in June, however a drop back in trip should help and he can't be written off. There are also 7 races on day 2 at Tramore where the highlight is the opener at 5.10 when 7 begin the Ey Chase. The two main protagonists both come from Henry De Bromhead,Myth Buster last won at Thurles in March and was a creditable 3rd in a novice chase at Killarney 28 days ago so gets the nod ahead of Trainwreck who was a below form 6th in a handicap chase at Tipperary when last seen in mid July,but if he finds his best form again he has a good claim.

Big race predictions: The Curragh: 6.00: 7: Leo De Fury  7.00: 9: Princess Zoe

                                       Tramore: 5.10: 4: Myth Buster.

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